Trade journal
The view stays
on the record.
Each entry begins before the outcome. It states the instrument, what is already priced, the catalyst and the evidence that would change the view. Later updates sit beside the original call.
Browse by market
Trade journal.
CurrenciesEUR/USD30 AUG 2026
The asymmetry in September policy pricing
An almost fully priced ECB hike meets a less settled Fed path. The view tests whether incoming inflation and employment evidence can move the relative rate outlook towards the dollar.
Conditional short EUR/USDAwaiting outcome
CurrenciesEUR/NOK29 AUG 2026
Hormuz, Brent and the case for NOK
Higher oil revenue supported the NOK narrative, but rates, risk sentiment and the amount already priced left insufficient asymmetry to advance the idea.
Lower EUR/NOK consideredArchived
What the journal statuses mean
- Awaiting outcome
- A dated view is active and its catalysts have not finished playing out.
- Archived
- The research was closed before entry because the proposed edge did not survive scrutiny.
- Reviewed
- The outcome has been assessed against the original reasoning, including what worked and what did not.